Application of the IUCN Red List Categories and Criteria (IUCN 2012a) requires the use of ‘the best available evidence’. For plants, herbarium and genebank collections usually provide the only source of information for the threat assessment and must therefore qualify as ‘best available evidence’ (Willis et al. 2003), even though they can provide little help in estimating population changes over time. Schatz et al. (2000) and Golding (2002) consider that these data are sufficiently reliable to enable conservation decisions. However, information provided by specimens can result in inconsistent Red List classifications because of the uncertainty associated with population and distribution parameters that arise from the decision rules of the IUCN Red List (IUCN 1994, 2012a).
Often, information used in Red List assessments is interpreted from locality and habitat information contained on specimen labels and inferences and projections are made regarding distribution ranges, scarcity and declines of species. When limited information is available, data often need to be extrapolated in order to make informed estimates, inferences and projections (Golding 2004). On the other hand—while collections made over the last 50 to 60 years usually provide data regarding scientific name, locality, habitat, ecology, date of collection, collector name and collector number—the historical specimens (before or from early 20th century) may only contain few hand written details of the plant name, collector and locality and therefore may be of limited value to conservation assessments. MacDougall et al. (1998) refer to herbarium specimen sheets as a qualitative rather than quantitative data source. Locality coordinate data acquired from herbarium specimen data will often only provide an approximation of species distribution (Willis et al. 2003).
Therefore, the use of specimen passport information from a single population sample should be regarded as provisional because it can result in an inaccurate assignment of Red List statuses of poorly known species, and consequently, influence conservation recommendations (Golding 2004). However, despite the uncertainty, herbarium specimens can be a good start when assessing species extinction risk.